Showing posts with label jaime garcia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label jaime garcia. Show all posts

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Regina Coronation Park Nomination Recap

Regina Coronation Park Nomination Meeting

An earlier post documenting the speeches managed to disappear, so I'll pick up proceedings at the voting stage. Of note so far:

- Turnout has been set at 168 voting delegates and 38 visitors.  
- In his speech, Jaime Garcia announced a membership sales number of 118 - which would seem to give him an easy victory if he's managed to bring his supporters out, but from other membership numbers I've heard there are plenty who didn't make it.  
- In the crowd, the most noteworthy development has been a surprisingly high number of Fred Kress stickers; otherwise the shows of support for candidates are in line with what I'd expected.
- Roger Bucsis' introducer noted that it was his first nomination meeting, and a quick survey from chair Tim Williams reveals that the same is true for a large chunk of the crowd.

2:24 First-ballot results: Bucsis 36, Garcia 74, Harder 5, Kress 49, McGregor 3. Bucsis, Garcia and Kress go on to the second ballot - though we'll see whether Bucsis stays on since he can't overtake Kress even with all of the outstanding votes.

2:33 On to the second ballot, with nobody further dropping off.

2:49 Following a brief address from Trent Wotherspoon, the second-ballot results are:
Bucsis 33, Garcia 80, Kress 50. Garcia is only 2 votes short of a majority, but we're on to a third ballot.

2:57 Following the third ballot, Noah Evanchuk offers an update on his campaign in Palliser.

3:10 And the winner is Jaime Garcia, 81-60. Again congratulations to all of the candidates, and we'll look forward to Jaime's work as the NDP's candidate in Regina Coronation Park.

Friday, June 18, 2010

Regina Coronation Park Nomination Wrapup

The Regina Coronation Park nomination race comes to a close tomorrow, and at this point the best assessment possible is that nearly anything could happen. With five candidates in the mix and at least four having obvious paths to victory, tomorrow's meeting promises to be a long but fascinating one.

From the start of the race, Jaime Garcia got the jump on his competitors in finding innovative ways of getting his name and face known. And while he's taken a few unusual steps late in the campaign (particularly a focus on fund-raising at a point when most campaigns would seemingly be focused on spending rather than attracting money), his effective image development, billboards around the riding and strong contingent at the all-candidates' debate still figure to give him an advantage in getting himself known - which is a particularly important consideration on later ballots. And while Garcia got flustered a few times in the debate, he hasn't done much to rule himself out as a second choice for anybody, making him the favourite going into the nomination meeting.

Before discussing Tamara Harder, I'll acknowledge my bias once again: she's a longtime friend, and I've been glad to be involved in her campaign. Even taking that bias into account, though, I'm not sure how anybody could have come away from the all-candidates' debate thinking that any candidate other than Harder would make for the strongest, most knowledgeable voice at a caucus or cabinet table - which on paper should combine with an effective campaign plan to make her a serious contender. Unfortunately, though, it's not clear how much her message has actually managed to resonate in the riding. And that means that in addition to appealing to female voters (and others looking to reach the party's 50% target), she may need to use her speech Saturday to sway enough undecideds into her camp to keep her on the ballot.

Fred Kress' strength in the campaign has always been his connections to Kim Trew and the Regina Coronation Park NDP machine, and that advantage along with a fairly strong debate showing make him another candidate with a chance to eke out a later-ballot victory. But Kress hasn't kept up much of a public presence during the course of the campaign, and he may have to rely on other candidates' supporters not showing up to give him a chance to stay in contention.

Former Green deputy leader Tory McGregor presents as a strong candidate on paper, and has worked hard to get himself known in NDP circles over the course of the nomination race. But I'm not sure his focus on the Legislative Assembly has translated into as much support as he'd have hoped within Regina Coronation Park itself, either in terms of new members or swaying existing ones. And that leaves him as the longshot candidate for tomorrow.

Finally, Roger Bucsis was a late entrant into the nomination race, hasn't put together even a minimal public presence, and was somewhat of a disappointment in the candidates' debate (with regular non-answers even on questions going to the core of NDP policies and principles). But he's apparently managed to sell a flurry of memberships in the campaign's later stages - and while I'm not sure where he'd get later-ballot support, it's not out of the question that he could sweep to a quick win if all of his supporters are motivated to turn up.

So where does that leave Regina Coronation Park members deciding who to vote for?

Endorsement

Based on the above, my endorsement shouldn't come as too much of a surprise. While each of the other candidates brings some pluses to the table, Tamara Harder stands out in combining strong progressive principles, an impeccable command of policy and the ability to communicate with all kinds of audiences - giving her by far the best chance to serve as a leader within the NDP, rather than looking primarily to reflect the party's message within the riding. So I'm glad to endorse Tamara Harder as the best choice for Regina Coronation Park.

Prediction

But of course, tomorrow's results will be decided primarily on the number of supporters each candidate can convince to give up a sunny June afternoon - making family, friends, and community connections within the riding the likely deciding factors. So here's how I'll estimate the chance of winning for each candidate.

35% - Jaime Garcia
25% - Roger Bucsis
20% - Tamara Harder
15% - Fred Kress
5% - Tory McGregor

Again, the meeting will start at 1 PM at Thom Collegiate, with the doors opening at 12 PM. We'll find out soon whether the nomination will be as well attended as Regina South's last night, and which of the factors will ultimately win out in deciding who will represent the NDP in Regina Coronation Park.

Thursday, June 17, 2010

Regina Coronation Park - Virtual Document Drop

So far I've only heard from two of the candidates - so if any of the additional contestants have end-of-campaign materials they'd like to see posted, I'll encourage them to send those in.

Jaime Garcia didn't have a new flyer to send, but did pass along this end-of-campaign message:
I very much respect all the work the other Candidates have done and all the work they have put in. More than anything at this point, I'd like to say that no matter what, we are all in one team in one family and the true reward is not for any one individual candidate but for the province as a whole.

Best of luck to all seeking the nomination and see you all on Saturday!
And the one flyer to be posted belongs to Tamara Harder:


Wednesday, June 09, 2010

Saskatchewan Nomination Roundup

A few notes on provincial and federal nomination races around the province...

In Regina South, Yens Pedersen has focused on membership sales lately, and is announcing that his campaign has brought in 65 new members as of last week's deadline. Meanwhile, Heather McIntyre is pointing out Kent's timeline of the race.

In Regina Coronation Park, last month's debate has been followed by a surprising lull in apparent activity. Roger Bucsis has yet to put up any apparent public presence, and Tory McGregor and Fred Kress have combined for a single Facebook wall post since then. That's left Jaime Garcia and Tamara Harder as the two candidates still making an effort to keep voters interested and informed online - though it's possible the others have simply turned their focus elsewhere.

But at least the NDP can claim that its provincial nominations are being contested. In contrast, Sean notes that city councillor Gord Wyant has been acclaimed as the Sask Party's candidate in Saskatoon Northwest.

Meanwhile, the Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre continues to see plenty of online activity, as Brian Sklar is making an effort to match Don Hansen's steady stream of posts. But does anybody know exactly what Brian means when he says he wants to "elect the first "Western Senator""?

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Saskatchewan NDP Nomination Roundup

There's plenty of news to point out on the Saskatchewan NDP nomination front - so rather than splitting it up into several posts, let's bundle it together for your reading convenience.

- On the federal side, Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre nomination candidate Brian Sklar has unveiled his website, featuring sharp criticism of Con incumbent Tom Lukiwski along with a policy section that mirrors Dwain Lingenfelter's provincial vision. Meanwhile, Donald Hansen's Facebook page has become an extremely lively and informative source of news and opinion.

- On the provincial side, the biggest news is the scheduling of a joint nomination meeting for all six of Regina's NDP incumbents on May 25. Of particular note, the list includes includes the Regina-Dewdney nomination, which no longer appears to be contested (as confirmed by the deletion of any "running for" from Kaitlin Stocks' Facebook page).

- Meanwhile, a couple of the candidates working toward nomination dates next month have activities on the go which deserve pointing out. Jaime Garcia has become the latest NDPer to look to a money bomb to finance his campaign in Regina Coronation Park, while Heather McIntyre will be holding a BBQ tonight in support of her Regina South campaign.

- Finally, the Regina Northeast race looks like it's about to get even more interesting in the wake of the two initial entries. At least two more entrants are apparently set to announce their intentions, including one of the NDP's long-anticipated new candidates. Stay tuned...

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Regina Coronation Park - Roger Bucsis Enters NDP Nomination Race

Jason mentions the news only as an aside, but it's worth noting that there's another apparent entrant in the already-crowded field pursuing the NDP's nomination in Regina Coronation Park.

Unfortunately there isn't much to be said about Roger Bucsis based on what's publicly available to this point - and he'll figure to need to change that in a hurry in order to make up ground on his competitors. But it's still a plus to see even more interest in the race, and it'll be interesting to see how much of a challenge Bucsis can mount following his late start.

Tuesday, April 06, 2010

Saskatchewan NDP - Regina Nomination Roundup

To date, I haven't followed up much on the Regina Coronation Park and Regina South nomination races since mentioning the entry of each candidate. But now that the fields look to be fairly well set, let's take a closer look at what each candidate is currently doing to build support online.

Off the top, it's worth noting that each one of the six candidates has put together at least a reasonably well-updated Facebook group in support of his or her effort - not to mention that all six candidates attended the Prince Albert provincial convention to interact with the broader party. But it's worth also pointing out some of the creative steps taken beyond that strong baseline of activity for all of the candidates. So let's go through the candidates in alphabetical order by riding to see what they've been up to.

Regina Coronation Park

The first candidate to review also looks to be winner in the creativity department so far. Jaime Garcia's campaign has left no stone unturned in getting his name out into the public, with the efforts so far ranging from billboards to custom pop bottles in addition to active Facebook, Twitter and web presences. And the fact that he's also held a fund-raising dinner hints at how he's been able to afford forms of advertising not normally expected in a nomination race. About the only question I'd have about Garcia's campaign so far is his degree of focus on candidate branding over policy - but he's certainly done well in getting his name known.

The other Regina Coronation Park candidate with a complete set of online campaign tools is Tamara Harder, who likewise features regular Facebook and Twitter updates to go with the strongest web presence among the Coronation Park candidates. (Disclaimer: As mentioned before, I'm helping out with Tamara's campaign.)

Not surprisingly, Fred Kress is somewhat behind the younger candidates in his online presence, as he's the candidate with the longest gap in online updates (having last posted on March 21). Hopefully he'll get back in the habit of posting, as his earlier updates offered some sharper and more candid commentary than most of the candidates have provided.

Finally, Tory McGregor has also gone awhile since his last update on March 23. But it's worth highlighting a few of his earlier entries which reflect the most direct effort of any of the candidates to educate voters about an area of interest (that being the Sask Party's proposed changes to environmental regulation).

Regina South

As expected, both of the candidates in Regina South have maintained a strong online presence. But the most notable new development looks to be Heather McIntyre's Coffee Talk feature, offering visitors the chance to hear conversational interviews about Heather's campaign (with more apparently to come) to accompany her regular written updates.

Meanwhile, Yens Pedersen's campaign has provided updates primarily through his Facebook group, featuring a bevy of photos and outside links. It's worth noting that much of Yens' website (including the blog portion) has been pared down or cleared since last year's leadership race, and it'll be worth watching the extent to which he ends up offering less formal commentary on the nomination race to counter McIntyre's personal focus.

Update (April 9): To his credit, Jaime Garcia has been posting plenty of policy links and commentary over the past few days since I posted the above. For my next demand, I'd like to see a musical number.

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Regina Coronation Park - One More in the Mix

As noted in comments here, there's a third candidate to add to the NDP's list of contenders in Regina Coronation Park, as Fred Kress is also seeking the nomination.

Fred's name may be familiar based on his run for the federal NDP in 2008. As a late entrant in the Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre race (replacing Moe Kovatch who stepped down as the NDP's candidate), he came in a respectable second place behind Tom Lukiwski, and in fact increased the NDP's share of the vote in a riding which was targeted by a star Lib candidate in Monica Lysack.

That previous stint as a candidate gives Fred somewhat of a leg up on his competitors in terms of general election experience - and in a federal riding adjacent to Regina Coronation Park. But Fred himself notes that all three look to be strong contenders - and if he's right in suspecting that there are more candidates yet to come, then all the better for the NDP's enthusiasm level building up to the 2011 election.

Sunday, February 14, 2010

Regina Coronation Park - The Race is On

I've already posted about Tamara Harder's entry into the NDP's Regina Coronation Park nomination race - which has so far been extremely well-received, with her 80+ fans including the likes of Pat Atkinson, Ryan Meili and Noah Evanchuk. And I'll be among the supporters joining Tamara's campaign.

But it's always a plus to see an active contest as well, and it looks like Tamara is facing another well-organized contender. Jaime Garcia has already put up his own website and assembled over 110 fans, signalling that there will be at least two strong candidates competing to succeed Kim Trew. And whether it's Tamara, Jaime or somebody else who emerges with the nomination in Regina Coronation Park, the apparent enthusiasm level for the nomination race has to bode well for the NDP's chances of energizing its supporters when the 2011 general election rolls around.