Thursday, August 05, 2021

Thursday Afternoon Links

This and that for your Thursday reading.

- Brooks Fallis highlights why a strategy limited to vaccines won't stop a fourth wave of COVID-19. The CP reports on the call by doctors (and others) to have the UCP reverse its declaration of surrender to the pandemic, while David Cournoyer points out that the axing of all public health precautions is leaving a large number of Albertans behind. Jacquie Miller reports that even the Ford government is promising to buy air filters to somewhat improve the safety of schools in the fall. And John Ibbitson discusses the latest polling showing that a strong majority of Canadians support restricting unvaccinated people from attending public gatherings. 

- Karen Howlett points out the lack of coroners' reports or other accountability mechanisms for the thousands of Canadians who died of COVID in long-term care homes. 

- Sarah Lawryniuk discusses how a drought linked to climate change is disrupting agriculture in Manitoba, while Bonnie Allen and Heidi Atter report on the dire plight of Saskatchewan ranchers who can't find food for their herds. Damian Carrington reports on evidence that the Gulf Stream (a major regulator of the global climate) is on the verge of collapse. 

- Jaby Dayle rightly questions how so many people are eager to blame minimal social supports for people's understandable reluctance to accept dehumanizing work.  

- Finally, Jillian Horton expresses her understandable frustration at the disconnect between public needs and demands, and the priorities of those who govern us. 


  1. It is optimized for animals more than us. This is maybe why it is throwing off more than 3 mutations but maybe it won't reach 12. A future bacteria is a threat here. To eliminate COVID we need to look at finishing existing vaccine trials that have high likelihood of showing best in class features such as 95% efficacy (hoped for tobacco trial), though we mightn't know it in time longest efficacy, easy of Secure production, and of course multiple new strain efficacy. It might burn itself out or we might be force to mobilize 30 billion new doses and surge them out from main cities first, and then to countrysides. Mentally ill and other types of people wont easily get vaccinated. I suggest paying them for it or vouchers. I suggest a future fund be built up along with communication that the next one will be paid from the start of vaccination. Or people might wait next time for the later $. Animals in cities and agri industries will need to be vaccinated. I wouldn't want to lose nature (other than most of the minks) or track the virus into natural mutation grounds (China has been good here). The surroundings of these ground should be free of organic and chemically mutating pollution for 100km or the rate of new pandemics will increase.

  2. Technical chart analysis is relevant. Daily Covid cases appear to show two global Covid mutation peaks/yr. The more communicable mutations are losing to our more vaccines and latent Covid immunity. This illness immunity should gradually diminish over 5 or ten years and be cumulative. Our vaccination strategy will lead to low level pre-Jun/2020 Covid rates in 8 months or so. It will mutate in other ways after then, likely vaccine evading. I expect latent immunity to peak after about 7 strains have globally peaked, and be good for a few years. After 4 years I am worried about wild mutations. Because of the threat of resistant mutation, the chart may break out of the steady state line and cause a new wave at any time after 8 months in perpetuity. With semi-permanent health clinics in remote areas, administering vaccines, we can eliminate the threat of low-level flare-ups which increase the odds a wild mutation will eventually cause a Spanish Flu incident except be covid.