Saturday, August 18, 2012

On potential support

Abacus' latest federal poll includes some noteworthy data on which voters see a real prospect of shifting their preferences - and particularly on the number of voters who are willing to entirely rule out a vote for either the Cons or the NDP.

In particular, Bloc and Lib supporters are roughly twice as likely to say there's "no chance" of their supporting the Cons than the NDP (72%-37% and 50%-24% respectively), while the Greens aren't far behind at 52%-30% - all of which suggests that plenty of non-supporters are somewhat leaving open the possibility of uniting behind the NDP as the leading alternative to the Cons. And even comparing the parties' own supporters, more NDP than Con voters rule out a vote for the other party by a 63%-56% margin.

Which leaves one noteworthy group of voters where the Cons point to a slight advantage in growth potential: those who are truly undecided, who rule the Cons out slightly less than the NDP (43% compared to 48%, with a comparable advantage in respondents indicating a "fair chance" of support).

Now, I'd be interested to find out what group of voters is mostly represented in the "undecided" group to produce that result. (Perhaps Red Tories and blue Libs who aren't currently satisfied enough with any of the options to indicate a preference?) But it's noteworthy that the NDP looks to have far more room for growth than the Cons among every other party's supporters - meaning that the Cons' hold on power may depend on their being able to reach voters who haven't yet found any reason to support them, rather than merely catering to their current base.


  1. Anonymous8:49 a.m.

    Hi there, after reading this awesome paragraph i am as well cheerful to share
    my knowledge here with colleagues.
    Review my weblog : ordinary

  2. Anonymous7:33 p.m.

    I enjoy what you guys tend to be up too. This type of clever work and reporting keeps me reading!
    Keep up the terrific work. I've added you guys to my own blogroll.

    my web site: site

  3. Anonymous8:13 p.m.

    To avoid fungal and yeast infections, do not share towels, and change towels often, making sure
    that they are hung up and allowed to dry completely between uses.
    Consume half teaspoon of turmeric powder with warm water two times every day.

    Further infection and inflammation comes from certain germs present in the intestinal tract.

    Also visit my homepage - natural healing academy
    Also see my web site - natural healing arts center

  4. Anonymous9:27 p.m.

    Entrepreneurs need to be guided and supported a lot. Footers use text
    links while menu bars use text links or graphics.
    You can either delete some features or add certain functionalities which may
    be absent in a particular design template you selected.

    Check out my website - free web design applications

  5. Anonymous12:43 a.m.

    However, the P90 X program other step which enables you to maintain
    your whole body empowered throughout the exercise routine.
    You'll discover a few of does not take more than 1 hour and order to watch p90x a half in any one day. Before you know it, you'll have enough regular people like you an me are getting
    following this program, then you see how powerful order to watch p90x it really is.

    my blog post - view it now