A few thoughts which haven't yet found their way into full posts, but which seem worth noting before election day...
- Plenty has been made of the Cons' jump at the end of the 2008 election campaign which wasn't captured in polls or seat projection models. But is there any indication that pollsters haven't taken that development into account in adjusting their models in the time since? And is it possible that the radically different end to this campaign - with the Cons' chief opponent closing strong, rather than melting down as Stephane Dion was perceived to have done - might in fact lead to the opposite outcome?
- In the past, the Libs have notoriously had a fairly weak voter turnout structure. But this time out, they're bragging about a strong ground game which they argue will make up for part of their losses in popular support - and it'll be well worth watching whether that materializes, particularly to the extent the ridings being targeted for full-on turnout efforts have changed since just a couple of weeks ago.
- Conversely, the NDP will go from being known for a strong ground game in its target ridings, to relying on voters to turn themselves out in a number of ridings (particularly in Quebec, but potentially elsewhere as well) which haven't yet seen much development on the ground. It remains to be seen how many candidates will be able to win despite weakness on the ground - but any gap between popular support and ground game may also offer a ready opportunity for further NDP growth regardless of how tomorrow's results turn out.
- Finally, is anybody else surprised that the Cons don't seem to have matched their late-campaign pivot against the NDP on economic issues with so much as an online ad focusing on the contrast they've tried to draw?
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