Apparently Ontario's political pundits feel the need to get one more campaign's worth of use out of their stale old Lib vs. Con spin. So let's clear things up as to what the ascent of Andrea Horwath and the Ontario NDP actually means.
No, the NDP at 29% and rising doesn't "benefit" the PCs. Not only does the NDP offer another option for voters who want to see change but don't necessarily want the PCs' variety, but its current polling level also virtually ensures that the PCs can't win a majority. And it's awfully hard to see who would provide votes supporting a Hudak government in the provincial Parliament if they fall short on their own - meaning that the NDP actually looms as a substantial roadblock in the way of the PCs' hopes of taking power.
Of course, I'll grant there are some vote splits where the Cons might be able to eke out slightly better seat numbers from a given vote share than they might otherwise. But those offer a far less secure path to victory than the prospect of merely having to attack the McGuinty track record in a two-party race. And with Horwath holding a clear advantage as the most popular leader in Ontario politics, there's ample reason to think the NDP can make the PCs' job even tougher by continuing its upward trend.
I cannot vote for Dalton McGuinty's Liberal Party because McGuinty supported the violation of Canadian citizens' human rights during the G20 weekend in Toronto.
ReplyDeleteTim Hudak's Conservatives could possibly win a majority of the seats. Too bad for the Liberals However, I will not support any party whose leader actively repressed human rights in Ontario. I'll be voting NDP.
I cannot vote for Dalton McGuinty's Liberal Party because McGuinty supported the violation of Canadian citizens' human rights during the G20 weekend in Toronto.
ReplyDeleteTim Hudak's Conservatives could possibly win a majority of the seats. Too bad for the Liberals However, I will not support any party whose leader actively repressed human rights in Ontario. I'll be voting NDP.
I cannot vote for Dalton McGuinty's Liberal Party because McGuinty supported the violation of Canadian citizens' human rights during the G20 weekend in Toronto.
ReplyDeleteTim Hudak's Conservatives could possibly win a majority of the seats. Too bad for the Liberals However, I will not support any party whose leader actively repressed human rights in Ontario. I'll be voting NDP.
Couldn't have said it better myself.
ReplyDeleteThe biggest story of the month which the media have done a poor job at covering is where Hudak's support has drained.
Before election season polls were Tories low 40%, Libs low 30%, NDP, high teens.
Right now polls how (with some variation) Tories high 20%-low 30%, Libs low 30%, NDP Mid 20%-low 30%.
The media are labelling this as "Hudak down McGuinty up". But where is the honesty in that? The Tory vote has clearly gone to the NDP. I actually know of a few Tories who are voting NDP this season. This is because they dislike McGuinty due to his poor performace, but also really dislike Hudak who happens not to be very bright. They are picking Horwath because she is a fresh face and has stayed positive in her campaigning.
I have fallen for the "a vote for the NDP is a vote for the tories" trap before. Over time I have come to realize that there is very little to seperate the Tories and the Liberals (even Tories recently admitted to that in a story in Glovbe and Mail).
This election I will be voting NDP.
A vote for the NDP is a vote for the NDP.