Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Leadership 2013 Candidate Profile - Cam Broten

As promised, let's start taking a closer look at the four candidates in Saskatchewan's NDP leadership race - starting with Cam Broten as the first to formally announce his candidacy.


To the extent NDP members plan to vote based a checklist of experience and personal traits, Broten is positioned as well as any of the contenders. He's in his second term as an elected MLA; he served as chair of the NDP's most recent policy renewal process; and he has a strong reputation as an opposition critic.

Moreover, Broten has also shown enough organization to shape the race to his advantage. Not only was he the first to launch his campaign, he smartly used that opportunity to get a head start in defining himself while also releasing a fairly detailed platform from day one.


But then, there's a reason why self-definition was a priority for Broten's campaign.To start with, his public presentation so far has been mostly as a member of the NDP's team of candidates rather than as an individual - and the relatively blank slate obviously needs to be filled in.

That said, the greater issue for Broten will be whether he can move past merely reaching the minimum criteria, and win over voters by standing out in any particular area - be it personal appeal, policy or vision. And that will be no easy task in a field where each of his competitors excels in at least one of those areas.

Key Indicator

First-choice support.

Broten should be well positioned to earn final-ballot support regardless of who else stays in the race: on a final ballot against Wotherspoon he should be the favourite to win over the votes of policy- and values-oriented voters from the Meili and Weir camps, while any other final-ballot opponent would likely send a good chunk of Wotherspoon's institutional support into Broten's hands.

But either of those outcomes requires that Broten impress enough voters early on to remain as one of the final two choices.

Key Opponent

And the greatest danger for Broten's campaign on that point looks to come from Ryan Meili. It's still an open question as to how (if at all) we should discount Meili's 2009 level of support based on a different field of candidates. But he looks to have both a reasonable chance of ranking ahead of Broten on the first ballot, and an obvious advantage when it comes to pulling support from Weir voters if Broten doesn't have a substantial lead.

That combination raises a real possibility that Broten's campaign could go the way of Deb Higgins' 2009 run, with a plausible multiple-ballot path to victory as a compromise candidate snuffed out by a lack of early-ballot enthusiasm.

Plausible Outcomes
Best-case: Mid-ballot victory based on moderate lead on multiple ballots
Worst-case: Early-ballot exit if campaign doesn't generate strong personal support base


  1. Anonymous3:03 AM

    You're so cool! I do not suppose I've read through a single thing like this before.
    So good to discover someone with genuine thoughts on this subject matter.
    Seriously.. many thanks for starting this up. This website is something that is
    required on the internet, someone with a bit of

    Also visit my blog mitre

  2. Anonymous2:26 AM

    bookmarked!!, I like your website!

    My website; next
    Also see my web site - screen next

  3. Anonymous2:30 AM

    Pretty great post. I just stumbled upon your blog and
    wished to say that I have truly loved browsing your blog posts.
    After all I'll be subscribing for your rss feed and I am hoping you write once more very soon!

    my homepage ... next

  4. Anonymous2:59 AM

    I know this website offers quality depending articles and additional
    stuff, is there any other web page which gives these kinds of stuff in quality?

    my page :: view next
    My web page: move next

  5. Anonymous3:03 AM

    Thanks a bunch for sharing this with all folks you actually realize what you are speaking approximately!
    Bookmarked. Please additionally consult with my site =).
    We may have a hyperlink alternate contract among us

    Look into my website :: view more
    Also see my webpage - click here

  6. Anonymous3:52 AM

    What's up mates, its fantastic article regarding educationand completely defined, keep it up all the time.

    Here is my page :: click

  7. Anonymous3:53 AM

    Way cool! Some very valid points! I appreciate you
    penning this post and also the rest of the website is extremely good.

    my weblog :: next page

  8. Anonymous4:28 AM

    Saved as a favorite, I really like your web site!

    My web page ... view next

  9. Anonymous4:51 AM

    Normally I don't learn post on blogs, however I wish to say that this write-up very compelled me to check out and do it! Your writing taste has been surprised me. Thanks, quite great article.

    my blog post - next page
    my web page - click

  10. Anonymous5:23 AM

    Excellent article. I definitely appreciate this site. Continue the
    good work!

    Here is my web page ... move next
    My website :: more about

  11. Anonymous5:26 AM

    I like what you guys are usually up too. This type of clever work and coverage!

    Keep up the fantastic works guys I've included you guys to our blogroll.

    Look into my website; view more about

  12. Anonymous6:53 AM

    Thanks for finally talking about > "Leadership 2013 Candidate Profile - Cam Broten" < Loved it!

    Feel free to surf to my web page more

  13. Anonymous10:05 AM

    Fantastic goods from you, man. I've understand your stuff previous to and you're just too wonderful.

    I actually like what you've acquired here, really like what you are saying and the way in which you say it. You make it entertaining and you still take care of to keep it smart. I can't wait to read far more from you.
    This is really a wonderful web site.

    Also visit my blog post; turismmrtravel.com

  14. Anonymous10:32 AM

    Its like you read my mind! You appear to know a lot about this,
    like you wrote the e book in it or something.

    I think that you can do with a few percent to power the message home a bit, but instead of that, that is
    fantastic blog. A fantastic read. I will
    certainly be back.

    Feel free to visit my site www.youversion.com

  15. Anonymous12:52 PM

    Hmm it looks like your website ate my first comment (it was super
    long) so I guess I'll just sum it up what I had written and say, I'm thoroughly enjoying your blog.

    I as well am an aspiring blog writer but I'm still new to everything. Do you have any helpful hints for beginner blog writers? I'd certainly appreciate it.

    Review my site - Lijit.com

  16. Anonymous4:42 PM

    It's very straightforward to find out any topic on net as compared to books, as I found this paragraph at this web site.

    My blog ... ihatebreakcore.com

  17. Anonymous6:22 PM

    Hello I am so thrilled I found your blog, I really found you by mistake,
    while I was looking on Bing for something else,
    Anyways I am here now and would just like to say
    thank you for a incredible post and a all round entertaining blog (I also love the theme/design), I don’t have time to go through it all at
    the moment but I have saved it and also added your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read much
    more, Please do keep up the fantastic b.

    Here is my blog post ... free cfnm fever

  18. Anonymous6:47 AM

    I couldn't refrain from commenting. Perfectly written!

    My web site; sexy webcam live