Monday, July 25, 2005

New poll results

Harper's summer swing doesn't appear to be doing much for the Conservatives. From Decima Research:
Nationally, the poll placed the Liberals at 39 per cent of decided voters, compared with 24 per cent for the Conservatives and 19 per cent for the NDP.

The national numbers are based on Decima's weekly national poll of 1,000 Canadians conducted July 14-17.

While the Star focuses on the Quebec results (which show the Liberals making up some ground against the Bloc with both the NDP and the Cons in single digits), the national numbers are the more interesting ones from my standpoint.

There's little doubt that the Liberals have a solid lead on all comers at this point; however, this is one more poll to add to the pile where the NDP is within striking distance of the Cons. Of course there are others which have included double-digit gaps.

But at this point, a fluid electorate is probably the best situation for the NDP, particularly if it's based on dissatisfaction with Harper and company. Based on the new numbers, the electorate is both fluid, and flowing (slightly) in the right direction.

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